Preseason Rankings
Western Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#231
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.4#109
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#239
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#223
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 1.9% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.7
.500 or above 20.7% 24.2% 7.3%
.500 or above in Conference 23.3% 26.3% 12.2%
Conference Champion 1.7% 2.0% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 27.8% 25.0% 38.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round1.6% 1.8% 0.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: McNeese St. (Home) - 79.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 34 - 84 - 15
Quad 47 - 411 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 316   McNeese St. W 76-67 79%    
  Nov 09, 2019 250   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 70-72 42%    
  Nov 12, 2019 353   Mississippi Valley W 82-65 94%    
  Nov 15, 2019 51   @ Mississippi L 66-83 7%    
  Nov 22, 2019 49   @ Oklahoma St. L 63-80 6%    
  Nov 25, 2019 144   Yale L 75-80 33%    
  Dec 03, 2019 201   Oakland W 76-74 55%    
  Dec 07, 2019 225   Youngstown St. W 77-74 59%    
  Dec 14, 2019 259   @ Manhattan L 62-64 45%    
  Dec 29, 2019 1   @ Michigan St. L 60-89 1%    
  Jan 04, 2020 217   Ohio W 75-73 57%    
  Jan 07, 2020 132   @ Akron L 64-73 23%    
  Jan 11, 2020 112   @ Toledo L 67-78 18%    
  Jan 14, 2020 108   Bowling Green L 74-79 34%    
  Jan 18, 2020 129   Kent St. L 72-75 41%    
  Jan 21, 2020 104   @ Buffalo L 75-86 18%    
  Jan 25, 2020 147   @ Northern Illinois L 68-76 25%    
  Feb 01, 2020 154   Central Michigan L 79-80 45%    
  Feb 04, 2020 150   @ Miami (OH) L 67-75 26%    
  Feb 08, 2020 120   Ball St. L 73-77 36%    
  Feb 11, 2020 217   @ Ohio L 72-76 38%    
  Feb 15, 2020 222   @ Eastern Michigan L 64-68 38%    
  Feb 18, 2020 132   Akron L 67-70 41%    
  Feb 22, 2020 112   Toledo L 70-75 34%    
  Feb 25, 2020 120   @ Ball St. L 70-80 20%    
  Feb 29, 2020 147   Northern Illinois L 71-73 44%    
  Mar 03, 2020 222   Eastern Michigan W 67-65 58%    
  Mar 06, 2020 154   @ Central Michigan L 76-83 27%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.6 0.4 0.1 4.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.1 0.7 0.0 5.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.1 1.2 0.1 6.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 3.9 1.7 0.2 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.6 2.7 0.4 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.6 4.0 0.7 0.0 11.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.1 5.2 4.2 1.1 0.0 13.1 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 3.6 5.8 4.1 1.1 0.1 15.9 11th
12th 1.3 3.5 5.4 5.3 3.0 0.9 0.1 19.5 12th
Total 1.3 3.5 6.5 9.3 11.2 12.2 11.6 11.6 9.4 7.4 5.8 4.0 2.7 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 93.9% 0.2    0.1 0.0
15-3 84.1% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 44.9% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 26.2% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 42.7% 40.4% 2.2% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8%
16-2 0.2% 21.4% 12.7% 8.7% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.9%
15-3 0.5% 28.5% 25.6% 3.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 4.0%
14-4 1.0% 13.2% 13.1% 0.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.1%
13-5 1.8% 13.9% 13.9% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.0%
12-6 2.7% 12.9% 12.8% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.4 0.0%
11-7 4.0% 5.8% 5.8% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.8
10-8 5.8% 2.9% 2.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.6
9-9 7.4% 1.3% 1.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.3
8-10 9.4% 0.9% 0.9% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.3
7-11 11.6% 0.6% 0.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5
6-12 11.6% 0.4% 0.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5
5-13 12.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 12.2
4-14 11.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.2
3-15 9.3% 9.3
2-16 6.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.5
1-17 3.5% 3.5
0-18 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 98.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%